Data Trends for Investment Professionals

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Icebergs, Chameleons and Vipers: A Survey of FX Execution

The foreign exchange market has long been the most decentralized and opaque of all markets. As a result, FX traders labor under major informational disadvantages compared to their peers in other asset classes. Unlike equity markets, where SEC regulations mandate that public exchanges report transaction prices and daily trading volumes, FX boasts no such unified data sources. There are no central exchanges, pits or bulletin boards. Instead, FX transactions take place via a million phone calls, client visits, email threads and trading platforms. The entire market is over-the-counter, party to party, and nobody knows what anybody else is doing beyond...

Bollinger Band Breakout Augmented with Volume

This alternative data in action post looks at the power of currency volume data. CLS has just published the first true global foreign exchange (FX) volume database. Commercially available for the first time via Quandl, this database is the most accurate, most comprehensive and timeliest gauge of currency trading volume ever published. In this post, we present the results of augmenting a well-known FX trading strategy - Bollinger Band breakout - with data from our CLS Daily FX Volume database. This database, along with the CLS Hourly Volume database, offers access to the broadest set of executed trade data in...

How Email Receipts Predicted GoPro’s Q3 Earnings

The street got a big surprise last week when GoPro reported earnings. Shares dropped sharply in Friday morning trading after the company reported a loss of 60 cents per share on $240.56 million in revenue. Analyst expectations were much milder at a loss of 36 cents per share on $314.06 million in revenue. GoPro cited production issues as the cause for both the third quarter miss and the guidance for Q4. Prior to the earnings announcement, most pundits were bullish – or at least neutral –  on GoPro: see MarketWatch coverage, AmigoBulls, and this note from Raymond James. This is...

Email Receipts used to Forecast Amazon and Uber Revenues

This post is the first in a series called “Alternative Data In Action” (ADIA). Each article in this series will examine a different alternative dataset. We will discuss how the data is sourced, structured and, most importantly, some simple methods for leveraging the data for investment insight. This ADIA looks at electronic receipts. Data scientists Ray McTaggart and Lilian Lau contributed to this post.  The Dataset: Electronic Receipts in Email Where and when people spend their money is invaluable insight for everything from measuring the state of the economy as a whole to studying the success of a single product produced by a single...

Finally: A Comprehensive, Global Foreign Exchange (FX) Volume Database

There is a paradigm change towards increased transparency in the currency market.  CLS has just published the first true global foreign exchange (FX) volume database.  Commercially available for the first time via Quandl, this database is the most accurate, most comprehensive and timeliest gauge of currency trading volume ever published.  CLS’ new FX volume data has been described by one of our customers as “the missing link”.  This post explains why. The Challenge of FX Trading FX is one of the hardest markets from which to profit.  Currencies are incredibly volatile and masquerade as normally distributed only to pop violently in...

An Interview with Vishal Goklani, Founder & CEO of METRICLE

Sentiment data and analysis has long been part of the toolkit of the successful investor. If you know what other people think about a stock, you can profit from their positioning. In the past sentiment had to be gleaned piecemeal from newspaper reports, anecdotes and personal observation. But in recent years, the internet has unleashed a flood of new sentiment sources, from real-time news websites to social media posts to self-published blogs and reviews. The first wave of internet sentiment analysis companies achieved success capturing this data and selling it to financial investors. Predictably, the market has been quick to assimilate...

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