Data Trends for Investment Professionals

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How Email Receipts Predicted GoPro’s Q3 Earnings

The street got a big surprise last week when GoPro reported earnings. Shares dropped sharply in Friday morning trading after the company reported a loss of 60 cents per share on $240.56 million in revenue. Analyst expectations were much milder at a loss of 36 cents per share on $314.06 million in revenue. GoPro cited production issues as the cause for both the third quarter miss and the guidance for Q4. Prior to the earnings announcement, most pundits were bullish – or at least neutral –  on GoPro: see MarketWatch coverage, AmigoBulls, and this note from Raymond James. This is...

Are Drones A Legitimate Source of Alpha?

With predictions claiming that the global UAV drones market could reach up to USD 127 billion by 2020, it is clear that the drones industry is tapping into the world’s demand for more data—at faster speeds and greater precision. While many still associate drone technology with the military market, which indeed accounted for almost three-quarters of the US market total in 2015, demand for commercial drone technology has been slowly catching up in the last decade, with a predicted market size of USD 1.05 billion by 2020 and expected growth at a CAGR of 57%.1 Established and Emerging Markets The...

Email Receipts used to Forecast Amazon and Uber Revenues

This post is the first in a series called “Alternative Data In Action” (ADIA). Each article in this series will examine a different alternative dataset. We will discuss how the data is sourced, structured and, most importantly, some simple methods for leveraging the data for investment insight. This ADIA looks at electronic receipts. Data scientists Ray McTaggart and Lilian Lau contributed to this post.  The Dataset: Electronic Receipts in Email Where and when people spend their money is invaluable insight for everything from measuring the state of the economy as a whole to studying the success of a single product produced by a single...

The (Weak) Link Between Alternative Data and Inside Information

The alternative data business is an art and a science—in that order. The science—in the form of statistics—kicks in once our quant team gets its hands on a new dataset. There is of course plenty of creativity and innovation in this process: instincts honed from years as quants on Wall Street play a big role in guiding the research process. But the work is grounded in scientific discipline. Before any data mining can begin at all, the mine itself has to be found. Finding data that can potentially yield alpha is very much an art. It involves a continuous conversation...

Upstream Operational Risk Increases with Anadarko’s $2B Purchase

The Quandl data science team now publishes market insights based on analysis performed using Quandl alternative datasets. For information about our alternative datasets, or to request sample data, please see the contact information at the bottom of this post. On Monday, September 12 2016, Anadarko (NYSE:APC) announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire the deepwater Gulf of Mexico assets of Freeport McMoRan Oil & Gas for $2.0 billion. This transaction, set to close before year's end, doubles Anadarko's ownership in the Lucius development to approximately 49 percent. Quandl's Anadarko Production Tracker empowers investors to see real time production performance...

An Interview with Vishal Goklani, Founder & CEO of METRICLE

Sentiment data and analysis has long been part of the toolkit of the successful investor. If you know what other people think about a stock, you can profit from their positioning. In the past sentiment had to be gleaned piecemeal from newspaper reports, anecdotes and personal observation. But in recent years, the internet has unleashed a flood of new sentiment sources, from real-time news websites to social media posts to self-published blogs and reviews. The first wave of internet sentiment analysis companies achieved success capturing this data and selling it to financial investors. Predictably, the market has been quick to assimilate...

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