Data Trends for Investment Professionals

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What job listings tell us about the future of Ford

The historied Ford Motor Company is one the most watched firms in the US. Once an icon of America's Industrial Revolution, its performance over the years has caused everything from euphoria to despondency. Its well-known planned transformation into a more technology-led firm carries a special significance. And as a large-cap with a high dividend, it is one of the most widely traded securities in the world. Unsurprisingly then, investors are hungry for more information than the guidance offered through official results. Increasingly, they are turning to alternative data. What Ford's job postings tell us It is known that job postings...

Corporate jet tracking reveals major deals in 2018

Corporate jets are a perk and a status symbol, but they also offer immense value for C-suite executives in savings of time, maintaining privacy, and more. Warren Buffett, originally a critic of private jets as an unnecessary luxury initially named his “The Indefensible” only to rechristen it “The Indispensable” after reevaluating its usefulness. Even in an age of easy and inexpensive global communications, materially significant corporate actions still require face-to-face meetings. That means investors gain a significant edge by knowing who’s in the air and where they are going. The Quest for the Holy Grail The idea of using flight...

Alternative data sheds light on Tesla’s mysterious delivery numbers

Tesla’s strong Q3 delivery numbers - more than doubling from the prior quarter - was good news for the company. But a new report on mysterious lots of Tesla vehicles appearing across America has fanned speculation that those numbers may not be what they seem. Quandl’s alternative data also indicates that there may be more than meets the eye. UPDATE (October 26, 2018): The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the FBI has stepped up a criminal investigation of whether Tesla is misstating production figures. On Tuesday, October 2, Tesla announced a doubling of deliveries in the third quarter to...

Tesla’s Model 3 Has Miles to Go

Manufacturing bottlenecks continue to plague the Tesla Model 3. In October, Tesla’s target of 5,000 car deliveries per week by Q4 2017 was pushed back to Q1 2018. Yesterday, Tesla pushed the target back again, to Q2 2018, after a disappointing quarter for production. Quandl clients had early warning of this shortfall thanks to our model-level insurance policy dataset. Read on for more details. Tesla Stuck in “Production Hell” A few years ago, CEO Elon Musk claimed that Tesla would deliver over 100,000 Model 3s in 2017. That aggressive goal was subsequently scaled back substantially, to a seemingly more achievable...

Alternative Data in Action: Iron Ore in a Meltdown?

China is both the world's largest producer and the world's largest importer of iron ore. This can result in some curious dynamics in the market, especially when China's internal supply and demand for iron ore become unbalanced.   Recent developments form an interesting case study. The Chinese government has been getting tougher on smog, and this means cutting steel production, which is a major source of pollutants. How will this affect global iron ore markets? Alternative data may hold the answer. Air Care The Chinese government has made it a policy priority to reduce the smog that envelops many of...

Going Once, Going Twice: Alternative Data Gives IronPlanet Acquisition Second Take

Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers (TSE:RBA) (NYSE:RBA), the world’s largest industrial auctioneer, released its first earnings announcement yesterday after its May 2017 acquisition of IronPlanet for USD 750m. The reported EPS of USD 0.33 and USD 166.19m revenue handily beat the consensus estimates of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters, which called for adjusted EPS of USD 0.31 on revenue of USD 163.4m. The stock has responded by rallying over 8% in next-day trading. We believe that analysts underestimated the results because they lacked insight into the boost in gross merchandise volume (GMV) that the IronPlanet acquisition provided. Ritchie Bros. has underperformed the...

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