Data Trends for Investment Professionals

GO TO QUANDL.COM ⟶

Alternative data sheds light on Tesla’s mysterious delivery numbers

Tesla’s strong Q3 delivery numbers - more than doubling from the prior quarter - was good news for the company. But a new report on mysterious lots of Tesla vehicles appearing across America has fanned speculation that those numbers may not be what they seem. Quandl’s alternative data also indicates that there may be more than meets the eye. UPDATE (October 26, 2018): The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the FBI has stepped up a criminal investigation of whether Tesla is misstating production figures. On Tuesday, October 2, Tesla announced a doubling of deliveries in the third quarter to...

Corporate Aviation Intelligence: The Sky’s the Limit

I’m pleased to announce the launch of Quandl’s Corporate Aviation Intelligence (CAI) product. This institutional-grade product tracks corporate air travel to yield actionable insights into M&A, corporate expansion, competitive intelligence and other market-moving events. TAKEOFF In late January 2017 Actelion's stock jumped by more than 20%, taking the market by surprise. Everyone, that is, except for three hedge funds. Och-Ziff, Eton Park and Elliott Management are said to have tracked J&J’s private jet landing near pharmaceutical company Actelion’s Switzerland headquarters in mid-January. Days later J&J announced a $30 billion acquisition of Actelion, resulting in $300M in upside for these three...

UPDATE: Iron Ore in a Meltdown?

UPDATE: We recently published an updated report on our iron ore monthly insights, featuring our Q1 estimates for each company. Our monthly report is released two to three weeks earlier than public company data. We currently distributed our monthly report on FactSet and Thomson Reuters.  Back in November, the Chinese government imposed regulations on steel production to curb the pollution in areas surrounding Beijing. We predicted that the restrictions would pull the players in iron ore industry in opposing directions: While the general reduction of steel production would reduce the overall demand for iron ore, the intense crackdown on domestic...

Searching for an Edge with Alternative Data

When Johnson & Johnson agreed to buy Actelion for $30 billion on January 26, 2017, its stock soared almost 20 percent. The deal was the largest in J&J’s 130-year history. This was good news for Och-Ziff Capital Management Group LLC (who had built a stake worth about USD 766 million), Eton Park Capital Management (whose bet was almost USD 500 million) and Elliott Management Corp. (USD 200 million). The three funds, however, did not make their bets blind; they had backed up their belief by good old-fashioned sleuthing: They tracked J&J’s private jet movements with alternative data. According to Bloomberg,...

Tesla’s Model 3 Has Miles to Go

Manufacturing bottlenecks continue to plague the Tesla Model 3. In October, Tesla’s target of 5,000 car deliveries per week by Q4 2017 was pushed back to Q1 2018. Yesterday, Tesla pushed the target back again, to Q2 2018, after a disappointing quarter for production. Quandl clients had early warning of this shortfall thanks to our model-level insurance policy dataset. Read on for more details. Tesla Stuck in “Production Hell” A few years ago, CEO Elon Musk claimed that Tesla would deliver over 100,000 Model 3s in 2017. That aggressive goal was subsequently scaled back substantially, to a seemingly more achievable...

5 Misleading Myths About Alternative Data

One of the (many) interesting things about alternative data is how difficult it is to define. Most people define it by what it is not: “any non-market data is alternative data”. But very few are actually able to pinpoint what it actually is. The reason, I suspect, is that alternative data is a moving target. It comes from different sources, takes different forms, and offers insights on different verticals. For example, satellite imagery can predict oil inventories, online job listings can track company growth, and insurance records can track auto sales: that’s 3 different data types, from three different sources,...

1 2 3 5
Fix This
Created with Sketch.